diet coke for breakfast

Tuesday, July 20, 2004

Posted by Tanstaafl
Polarization or not?:

If swing voters have disappeared, how did the six blue states in which George W. Bush ran most poorly in 2000 all elect Republican governors in 2002 (and how did Arnold Schwarzenegger run away with the 2003 recall in blue California)? If almost all voters have already made up their minds about their 2004 votes, then why did John Kerry surge to a 14-point trial-heat lead when polls offered voters the prospect of a Kerry-McCain ticket? If voter partisanship has hardened into concrete, why do virtually identical majorities in both red and blue states favor divided control of the presidency and Congress, rather than unified control by their party? Finally, and ironically, if voter positions have become so uncompromising, why did a recent CBS story titled 'Polarization in America' report that 76% of Republicans, 87% of Democrats and 86% of independents would like to see elected officials compromise more rather than stick to their principles?

I took Mo Fiorrina's first class at Stanford after we got him from Harvard. He's extremely smart and reads data better than almost anyone. Worth reading!

On another note, sorry for light blogging, but it's not going to get heavier. I was on vacation last week, and this week my job is a bit rough. Not sure when I'll have time to get back to it. I'm starting a new job next week that may keep me pretty busy.


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